MTK Budapest 0-2 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
16%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 49%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
1.06/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.72
-25% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -39%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 80%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
14.2 Crosses 25.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Paksi SE
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.47 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
258 Passes 277
65% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
28.07.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
16.04.2022 Paksi SE Paksi SE 4-0 HT 3-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
18.12.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-4 HT 1-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.09.2021 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-2 HT 2-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
03.04.2021 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 2-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
0-2
AWAY Paksi SE
1.96 xG 0.91
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
535 Passes 187
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
23 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE saw off MTK Budapest 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 68% of the ball to Paksi SE's 32%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.96 to 0.91 — the balance of chances actually favoured MTK Budapest.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for MTK Budapest and 2.50 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Paksi SE?

MTK Budapest 0-2 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 34%, draw 23%, Paksi SE 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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