Ujpest 2-0 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -20%
1.94/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.60
+16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
228 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.6 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
3W-2D-1L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 1.65
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
235 Passes 403
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 2-1 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
29.07.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 2-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
08.04.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
09.11.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
10.10.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 0-1 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
08.05.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 1-1 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
2-0
AWAY MOL Fehervar
2.45 xG 1.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
261 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest beat MOL Fehervar 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ujpest as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ujpest had 43% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 57%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.45 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ujpest and 0.83 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs MOL Fehervar?

Ujpest 2-0 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 42%, draw 26%, MOL Fehervar 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ujpest) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ujpest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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