Floriana 5-1 Gudja United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.0pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.7pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Gudja United EU Bookmakers 9%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.56/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/2.33
-23% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -31%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Gudja United
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Gudja United Gudja United 1-1 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
13.11.2022 Gudja United Gudja United 0-3 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
05.05.2022 Gudja United Gudja United 1-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
26.02.2022 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 0-0 Gudja United Gudja United MLTP
20.11.2021 Gudja United Gudja United 0-1 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
5-1
AWAY Gudja United
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Gudja United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana swept aside Gudja United 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Floriana had 63% of the ball to Gudja United's 37%, shots finished 15-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Floriana and 0.40 for Gudja United.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Gudja United?

Floriana 5-1 Gudja United in the Malta - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Gudja United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Floriana 69%, draw 19%, Gudja United 12%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Over 2.5
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