Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-10.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 29%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.49/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.70
+7% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Mosta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Mosta Mosta 3-2 HT 2-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
08.01.2023 Mosta Mosta 2-1 HT 1-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
27.08.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-4 HT 1-3 Mosta Mosta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1-2
AWAY Mosta
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta squeezed past Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Mosta made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 59% of the ball to Mosta's 41%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mosta led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 3.00 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Mosta?

Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 37%, draw 30%, Mosta 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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