03/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Ammerthal vs Donaustauf Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
57%
23%
Draw
24%
37%
Away Win
20%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ammerthal v Donaustauf — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ammerthal
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Donaustauf
EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
18
Total Shots
9
13
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
427 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
311 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ammerthal vs Donaustauf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Donaustauf ran out comfortable winners over Ammerthal 4-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Donaustauf found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Ammerthal vs Donaustauf?
Ammerthal 0-4 Donaustauf in the Germany - Oberliga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ammerthal vs Donaustauf?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ammerthal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ammerthal 40%, draw 23%, Donaustauf 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ammerthal), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ammerthal)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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OBER
More Germany - Oberliga
3 Mar 2024