Novi Pazar 0-0 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-10.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +23%
1.19/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.52
-4% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
20.3 Crosses 15.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
249 Passes 302
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-0 HT 2-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
31.03.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-3 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
30.09.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-1 HT 1-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
14.03.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
03.10.2021 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 3-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
06.12.2020 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 3-2 HT 2-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
0-0
AWAY Mladost Lucani
0.69 xG 1.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
360 Passes 214
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 19
39 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar and Mladost Lucani played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 60% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 40%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.69 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mladost Lucani led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.67 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?

Novi Pazar 0-0 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 36%, draw 30%, Mladost Lucani 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novi Pazar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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