Radnicki Nis 0-3 Radnik Surdulica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.55/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.30
-6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
25.9 Crosses 15.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki Nis
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.31 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
291 Passes 227
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
27.04.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
18.02.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
21.08.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-3 HT 0-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
28.11.2021 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-0 HT 2-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
31.07.2021 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki Nis
0-3
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
0.97 xG 0.47
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 0
304 Passes 142
76% Pass Accuracy 58%
19 Box Touches 5
29 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radnicki Nis vs Radnik Surdulica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Surdulica cruised past Radnicki Nis 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Radnicki Nis at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Radnicki Nis had 63% of the ball to Radnik Surdulica's 37%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 0.97 to 0.47 — the balance of chances actually favoured Radnicki Nis.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki Nis had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Radnicki Nis and 0.50 for Radnik Surdulica.

What was the final score of Radnicki Nis vs Radnik Surdulica?

Radnicki Nis 0-3 Radnik Surdulica in the Serbia - Super League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki Nis vs Radnik Surdulica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki Nis win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Radnicki Nis 48%, draw 30%, Radnik Surdulica 22%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Radnicki Nis), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki Nis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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