Tolmin 1-2 Beltinci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.95
No
62%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.4pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Beltinci EU Bookmakers 66%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.24/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/0.49
+47% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +51%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tolmin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Beltinci
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2023 Beltinci Beltinci 3-1 HT 2-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs Beltinci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beltinci edged past Tolmin 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beltinci as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs Beltinci?

Tolmin 1-2 Beltinci in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs Beltinci?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beltinci win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 24%, draw 22%, Beltinci 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beltinci) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beltinci) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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