Al Adalah 1-1 Al Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
38%
3.45
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.7pp
38%
Draw
26%
+12.2pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Adalah EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Safa EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.51/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.67
-6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Adalah
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Safa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2023 Al Safa Al Safa 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Adalah
1-1
AWAY Al Safa
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Adalah vs Al Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Adalah and Al Safa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 38% / 21% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Al Adalah had 45% of the ball to Al Safa's 55%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Al Adalah vs Al Safa?

Al Adalah 1-1 Al Safa in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Adalah vs Al Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Adalah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Adalah 41%, draw 38%, Al Safa 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Adalah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Adalah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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