Al Faisaly 5-2 Al Bukayriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.57/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.12
+8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
5-2
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Al Bukayriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly cruised past Al Bukayriyah 5-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Faisaly as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 51% of the ball to Al Bukayriyah's 49%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Al Bukayriyah?

Al Faisaly 5-2 Al Bukayriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Al Bukayriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 48%, draw 27%, Al Bukayriyah 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Faisaly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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