Buriram United 3-2 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.59/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.44
+37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.7 Crosses 11.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Bangkok United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.57 xG 0.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
241 Passes 347
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.04.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 4-3 HT 1-2 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
30.10.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
23.01.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
25.09.2021 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-0 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
3-2
AWAY Bangkok United
1.98 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
357 Passes 308
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United edged past Bangkok United 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buriram United had 53% of the ball to Bangkok United's 47%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.98 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Buriram United and 1.50 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Bangkok United?

Buriram United 3-2 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 46%, draw 28%, Bangkok United 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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