Muang Thong United 2-1 Prachuap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.9pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Prachuap EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.39/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.41
+59% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.1 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Prachuap
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.53 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
407 Passes 323
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2023 Prachuap Prachuap 0-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
23.10.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 5-0 HT 3-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
04.05.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-1 HT 1-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
2-1
AWAY Prachuap
0.87 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
307 Passes 277
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Prachuap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United squeezed past Prachuap 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 52% of the ball to Prachuap's 48%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.87 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Muang Thong United and 0.33 for Prachuap.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Prachuap?

Muang Thong United 2-1 Prachuap in the Thailand - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Prachuap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 42%, draw 30%, Prachuap 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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