Beşiktaş 0-1 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
14%
8.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.59
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
12%
7.05
X/2
13%
4.93
X/X
9%
5.38
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
21%
2.79
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 49%
+19% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.58/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.10
+30% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
18.1 Crosses 21.2
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.00 xG 1.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 Passes 287
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
30.04.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-1 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
05.11.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
14.03.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 2-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
25.10.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
08.05.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-1 HT 2-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
0-1
AWAY Galatasaray
0.32 xG 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 11
277 Passes 281
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray squeezed past Beşiktaş 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 48% of the ball to Galatasaray's 52%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.32 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.83 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray?

Beşiktaş 0-1 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 33%, draw 25%, Galatasaray 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Over 2.5
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