Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.12/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.21
-9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Boston River
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-1 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
26.03.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
27.08.2022 Boston River Boston River 1-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
12.03.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-2 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
30.11.2021 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
16.08.2021 Boston River Boston River 0-2 HT 0-2 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1-2
AWAY Boston River
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River nicked a narrow win over Centro Atletico Fenix 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Boston River found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 49% of the ball to Boston River's 51%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 0.67 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Boston River?

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 36%, draw 26%, Boston River 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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