Nacional de Football 3-0 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

Nacional de Football
3-0 HT 1-0
Montevideo Wanderers
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nacional de Football v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
2.00/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.40
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 20.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.4

Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.11.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 3-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
25.04.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
21.08.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
21.03.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
22.10.2021 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
24.06.2021 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU

Nacional de Football 3-0 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
3-0
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football ran out comfortable winners over Montevideo Wanderers 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 60% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 40%, shots finished 21-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.67 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Nacional de Football 3-0 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 48%, draw 28%, Montevideo Wanderers 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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