Varbergs 1-2 Stockholm Internazionale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.25
6+ Goals
8%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 26% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockholm Internazionale EU Bookmakers 40%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-47% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs
1-2
AWAY Stockholm Internazionale
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Stockholm Internazionale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockholm Internazionale edged past Varbergs 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Varbergs at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Varbergs had 58% of the ball to Stockholm Internazionale's 42%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Stockholm Internazionale?

Varbergs 1-2 Stockholm Internazionale in the Sweden - Cup on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Stockholm Internazionale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 43%, draw 24%, Stockholm Internazionale 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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