Esteghlal FC 0-0 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.32
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.6
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.63
1/2
3%
29.5
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
10%
7.74
X/2
14%
4.32
X/X
7%
3.9
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.72
2/X
11%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 51%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.91/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.86
+25% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +36%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
13.1 Crosses 16.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Nassr
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.40 xG 2.09
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
282 Passes 570
81% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
22.10.2024 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esteghlal FC
0-0
AWAY Al Nassr
0.50 xG 2.08
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
231 Passes 502
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
11 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Esteghlal FC vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal FC and Al Nassr played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Al Nassr at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Esteghlal FC had 35% of the ball to Al Nassr's 65%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.50 to 2.08.

What was the final score of Esteghlal FC vs Al Nassr?

Esteghlal FC 0-0 Al Nassr in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal FC vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal FC 26%, draw 26%, Al Nassr 48%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Nassr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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