Esteghlal FC vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Esteghlal FC v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals
Esteghlal FC 0-1 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr squeezed past Esteghlal FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Esteghlal FC had 35% of the ball to Al Nassr's 65%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.40 to 2.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Nassr's control.
What was the final score of Esteghlal FC vs Al Nassr?
Esteghlal FC 0-1 Al Nassr in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Esteghlal FC vs Al Nassr?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal FC 24%, draw 26%, Al Nassr 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.