Buriram United 1-0 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
6%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 31% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.48
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
12%
4.44
X/2
12%
7.92
X/X
13%
5.33
2/1
4%
22.3
2/2
13%
5.55
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 29%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.16/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.05
+143% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
14.0 Crosses 16.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
23.04.2014 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-0 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
1-0
AWAY Pohang Steelers
0.45 xG 1.10
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
269 Passes 483
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United edged past Pohang Steelers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Buriram United had 39% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 61%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.45 to 1.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Pohang Steelers?

Buriram United 1-0 Pohang Steelers in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 46%, draw 25%, Pohang Steelers 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AŞMP More AFC Sampiyonlar League
22 Oct 2024
13:00 Shanghai Port vs Central Coast Mariners Analysis →
13:00 Gwangju vs Johor DT Analysis →
15:00 Shandong Taishan vs Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis →
19:00 Esteghlal FC vs Al Nassr Analysis →
19:00 Al Gharafa vs Al Wasl Dubai Analysis →