Shandong Taishan 2-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.97
2-3 Goals
36%
2.07
4-5 Goals
27%
2.58
6+ Goals
17%
5.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.97
1/2 EV+
9%
21.3
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
13%
6.76
X/2
12%
5.28
X/X
10%
6.23
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
22%
2.84
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-0.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.45/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.02
+17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
26.2 Crosses 21.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.19 xG 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
248 Passes 399
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.03.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan AŞMP
06.03.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
13.12.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan AŞMP
03.10.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
2-2
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 13
228 Passes 412
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan and Yokohama F. Marinos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 20% / 42% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 39% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 61%, shots finished 18-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Shandong Taishan and 1.75 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Shandong Taishan 2-2 Yokohama F. Marinos in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 37%, draw 20%, Yokohama F. Marinos 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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