El Nacional 0-0 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Nacional EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.61/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.89
-7% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +75%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.5 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Nacional
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 1.43
47% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
203 Passes 250
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 El Nacional El Nacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
01.06.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-2 HT 1-0 El Nacional El Nacional EKV1
12.08.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-3 HT 0-2 El Nacional El Nacional EKV1
04.03.2023 El Nacional El Nacional 3-2 HT 2-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
10.11.2020 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 El Nacional El Nacional EKV1
13.09.2020 El Nacional El Nacional 0-1 HT 0-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Nacional
0-0
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.59 xG 0.84
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
310 Passes 192
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
10 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH El Nacional vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Nacional and Tecnico Universitario fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, El Nacional had 60% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 40%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.59 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for El Nacional and 1.50 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of El Nacional vs Tecnico Universitario?

El Nacional 0-0 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 33%, draw 29%, Tecnico Universitario 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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