Tecnico Universitario vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tecnico Universitario v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Tecnico Universitario vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 0-2
El Nacional
EKV1
3-2
HT 2-0
Tecnico Universitario
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
El Nacional
EKV1
0-1
HT 0-1
Tecnico Universitario
EKV1
1-2
HT 1-1
Tecnico Universitario
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-1
El Nacional
EKV1
Tecnico Universitario 1-2 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional edged past Tecnico Universitario 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; El Nacional found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 55% of the ball to El Nacional's 45%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.92 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tecnico Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.50 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs El Nacional?
Tecnico Universitario 1-2 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 40%, draw 31%, El Nacional 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.