Aucas 2-2 Imbabura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Imbabura EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.81/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.29
+12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
17.4 Crosses 13.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
2-2
AWAY Imbabura
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Aucas vs Imbabura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aucas and Imbabura shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aucas at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Aucas had 49% of the ball to Imbabura's 51%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Aucas vs Imbabura?

Aucas 2-2 Imbabura in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aucas vs Imbabura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aucas 56%, draw 23%, Imbabura 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aucas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aucas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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