Cumbaya 1-0 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 1 Jun 2024

Cumbaya
1-0 HT 0-0
Delfin
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Cumbaya vs Delfin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
47%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+9.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
46%
Away Win
60%
-13.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cumbaya v Delfin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cumbaya EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 64%
+17% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.70/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.39
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -25%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
225 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
10.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
12.4 Crosses 7.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 0.0

Cumbaya vs Delfin Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cumbaya
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Delfin
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.78 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
265 Passes 253
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Delfin Delfin 4-0 HT 2-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
21.05.2023 Cumbaya Cumbaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
27.08.2022 Cumbaya Cumbaya 2-1 HT 1-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
16.04.2022 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 1-1 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1

Cumbaya 1-0 Delfin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cumbaya
1-0
AWAY Delfin
0.57 xG 0.31
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
463 Passes 204
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cumbaya vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cumbaya nicked a narrow win over Delfin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Delfin at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cumbaya had 66% of the ball to Delfin's 34%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.57 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Delfin led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Cumbaya and 1.75 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Cumbaya vs Delfin?

Cumbaya 1-0 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cumbaya vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cumbaya 26%, draw 27%, Delfin 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Delfin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Delfin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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