Nottingham Forest 1-1 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 3 Mar 2025

Nottingham Forest
1-1 HT 0-0
Ipswich Town
📅03/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 34% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.91
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.2
X/1
17%
3.9
X/2
9%
11.45
X/X
14%
5.57
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
13%
9.72
2/X
6%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
61%
-17.7pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
29%
Away Win
17%
+12.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest v Ipswich Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.73/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.02
-20% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.1 Crosses –
0.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.36 xG 1.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 Passes 245
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
16.03.2019 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
01.12.2018 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
14.04.2018 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
02.12.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 4-2 HT 2-2 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
07.05.2017 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 3-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL

Nottingham Forest 1-1 Ipswich Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
1-1
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.20 xG 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
466 Passes 404
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 17
42 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest and Ipswich Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nottingham Forest at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 54% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 46%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.20 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.00 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Town?

Nottingham Forest 1-1 Ipswich Town in the England - FA Cup on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 44%, draw 28%, Ipswich Town 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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