Nottingham Forest 1-0 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 27% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.6
X/1
15%
4.52
X/2
12%
10.65
X/X
13%
6.06
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
8%
7.98
2/X
5%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 24%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -25%
1.85/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/3.95
+14% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / -57%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 70%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.7 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ipswich Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.36 xG 1.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
347 Passes 261
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2019 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
01.12.2018 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
14.04.2018 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
02.12.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 4-2 HT 2-2 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
07.05.2017 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 3-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
19.11.2016 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
1-0
AWAY Ipswich Town
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
238 Passes 307
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest squeezed past Ipswich Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nottingham Forest as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 45% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 55%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.00 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Town?

Nottingham Forest 1-0 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 48%, draw 26%, Ipswich Town 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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