Brentford 4-1 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.91
6+ Goals
16%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.22
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.1
X/1
13%
4.53
X/2
11%
11.7
X/X
14%
6.91
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
8%
8.28
2/X
4%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 23%
+14% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
2.46/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.77
+21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
433 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.6 Crosses 14.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Leicester City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.03 xG 1.41
47% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
347 Passes 412
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.03.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
07.08.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 2-2 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
20.03.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 2-1 HT 2-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
24.10.2021 Brentford Brentford 1-2 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
24.01.2021 Brentford Brentford 1-3 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City FAK
25.01.2020 Brentford Brentford 0-1 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
4-1
AWAY Leicester City
2.40 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
489 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford ran out comfortable winners over Leicester City 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brentford as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brentford had 60% of the ball to Leicester City's 40%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.40 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brentford and 1.83 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Leicester City?

Brentford 4-1 Leicester City in the England - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brentford 49%, draw 24%, Leicester City 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brentford), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brentford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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