Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

Crystal Palace
1-1 HT 0-0
Newcastle United
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 27% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.19
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
11%
7.52
X/2
16%
5.51
X/X
16%
5.22
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.32
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crystal Palace v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.25/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.52
-10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 82%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
17.0 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Newcastle United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.68 xG 1.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
307 Passes 384
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
21.10.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-0 HT 3-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
21.01.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
09.11.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNLK
03.09.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
20.04.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP

Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
1-1
AWAY Newcastle United
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 9
320 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace and Newcastle United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 49% of the ball to Newcastle United's 51%, shots finished 16-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Crystal Palace and 0.83 for Newcastle United.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?

Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 32%, draw 30%, Newcastle United 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Newcastle United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✓ Under 2.5
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30 Nov 2024
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