Crystal Palace 2-0 Newcastle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 Apr 2024

Crystal Palace
2-0 HT 0-0
Newcastle United
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 26% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.28
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
12%
6.65
X/2
12%
5.15
X/X
15%
5.21
2/1
11%
29.0
2/2
15%
2.99
2/X
8%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crystal Palace v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.27/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.71
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -28%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.7 Crosses 12.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Newcastle United
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
347 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-0 HT 3-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
21.01.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
09.11.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNLK
03.09.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
20.04.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
23.10.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP

Crystal Palace 2-0 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
2-0
AWAY Newcastle United
0.89 xG 0.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
336 Passes 387
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace beat Newcastle United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Crystal Palace found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 47% of the ball to Newcastle United's 53%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 0.89 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.00 for Newcastle United.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?

Crystal Palace 2-0 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 38%, draw 29%, Newcastle United 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
24 Apr 2024
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