Wolverhampton 0-1 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 Apr 2024

Wolverhampton
0-1 HT 0-1
Bournemouth
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Wolverhampton vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.82
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
24.85
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.99
X/2
12%
5.4
X/X
10%
5.21
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
22%
3.31
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolverhampton v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.39/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.22
+1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.9
20.6 Crosses 23.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Wolverhampton vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.58 xG 0.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
453 Passes 259
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-2 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
18.02.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-1 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
31.08.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
24.06.2020 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
23.11.2019 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-2 HT 0-2 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
23.02.2019 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP

Wolverhampton 0-1 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
0-1
AWAY Bournemouth
0.56 xG 1.96
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 12
435 Passes 224
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 43
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth nicked a narrow win over Wolverhampton 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bournemouth as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 63% of the ball to Bournemouth's 37%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 0.56 to 1.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bournemouth's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wolverhampton and 0.67 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Bournemouth?

Wolverhampton 0-1 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 29%, draw 26%, Bournemouth 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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