Manchester United 4-2 Sheffield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 Apr 2024

Manchester United
4-2 HT 1-1
Sheffield United
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Manchester United vs Sheffield United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.33
2-3 Goals
37%
2.23
4-5 Goals
28%
2.44
6+ Goals
13%
4.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.15
X/1
23%
3.84
X/2
9%
16.6
X/X
10%
8.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
18.5
2/2
7%
10.8
2/X
7%
18.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.5 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.7pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Sheffield United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
2.09/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.68
-15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
35.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.5 Crosses 14.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Manchester United vs Sheffield United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sheffield United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.57 xG 1.06
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
560 Passes 233
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-2 HT 1-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
27.01.2021 Manchester United Manchester United 1-2 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
17.12.2020 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-3 HT 1-2 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
24.06.2020 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 2-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
24.11.2019 Sheffield United Sheffield United 3-3 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
09.01.2016 Manchester United Manchester United 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United FAK

Manchester United 4-2 Sheffield United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
4-2
AWAY Sheffield United
2.94 xG 0.82
71% Ball Possession 29%
25 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
654 Passes 217
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
52 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Sheffield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United got the better of Sheffield United 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Manchester United had 71% of the ball to Sheffield United's 29%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.94 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Manchester United and 1.33 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Sheffield United?

Manchester United 4-2 Sheffield United in the England - Premier League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 56%, draw 22%, Sheffield United 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
24 Apr 2024
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