Everton 2-0 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 Apr 2024

Everton
2-0 HT 1-0
Liverpool
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Everton vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
20%
5.17
2-3 Goals
48%
1.97
4-5 Goals
22%
2.72
6+ Goals
10%
6.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.17 — our 20% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
10.15
1/2
9%
20.45
1/X
6%
18.3
X/1
7%
13.9
X/2
14%
3.7
X/X
14%
7.07
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.72
2/X
7%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.0pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-14.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 70%
+14% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +9%
0.99/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.15
-28% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 81%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.9
15.0 Crosses 21.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Everton vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Liverpool
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 2.07
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
183 Passes 556
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
13.02.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
03.09.2022 Everton Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
24.04.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
01.12.2021 Everton Everton 1-4 HT 1-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
20.02.2021 Liverpool Liverpool 0-2 HT 0-1 Everton Everton İNP

Everton 2-0 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
2-0
AWAY Liverpool
1.26 xG 2.08
24% Ball Possession 76%
16 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 13
141 Passes 634
62% Pass Accuracy 88%
28 Box Touches 49
9 Crosses 37
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Everton vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton beat Liverpool 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Everton had 24% of the ball to Liverpool's 76%, shots finished 16-23, expected goals 1.26 to 2.08 — the balance of chances actually favoured Liverpool.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Everton and 1.67 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Everton vs Liverpool?

Everton 2-0 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Everton 22%, draw 26%, Liverpool 51%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
24 Apr 2024
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