Crewe Alexandra U21 3-3 Fleetwood Town U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.7pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fleetwood Town U21
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
19.11.2024 Fleetwood Town U21 Fleetwood Town U21 3-2 HT 2-2 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 INGPDL
22.04.2024 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 1-4 HT 1-2 Fleetwood Town U21 Fleetwood Town U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra U21 and Fleetwood Town U21 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fleetwood Town U21 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crewe Alexandra U21 and 3.50 for Fleetwood Town U21.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?

Crewe Alexandra U21 3-3 Fleetwood Town U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fleetwood Town U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra U21 33%, draw 24%, Fleetwood Town U21 43%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fleetwood Town U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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