Watford U21 1-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.33
No
41%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
71%
-12.6pp
41%
BTTS No
29%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Watford U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.50/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.93
+28% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Watford U21
0W-1D-2L
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
19.11.2024 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 4-1 HT 1-1 Watford U21 Watford U21 INGPDL
20.02.2024 Watford U21 Watford U21 2-2 HT 0-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
30.11.2023 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 2-1 HT 0-1 Watford U21 Watford U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Watford U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Watford U21 and AFC Bournemouth U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Watford U21 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Bournemouth U21 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Watford U21 and 2.67 for AFC Bournemouth U21.

What was the final score of Watford U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Watford U21 1-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Watford U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Watford U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Watford U21 44%, draw 22%, AFC Bournemouth U21 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Watford U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Watford U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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