Buzau 1-1 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2025

Buzau
1-1 HT 0-0
UTA Arad
📅03/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Romania - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Buzau vs UTA Arad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.74
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Buzau v UTA Arad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buzau EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 37%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
0.61/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.11
+62% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
303 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
15.7 Crosses 15.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Buzau vs UTA Arad Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buzau
0W-0D-3L
AWAY UTA Arad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.69 xG 1.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
359 Passes 301
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.10.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-0 HT 1-0 Buzau Buzau ROM
27.09.2023 Buzau Buzau 1-2 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROMK
04.06.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 5-1 HT 1-0 Buzau Buzau ROM2

Buzau 1-1 UTA Arad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buzau
1-1
AWAY UTA Arad
2.41 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
257 Passes 189
74% Pass Accuracy 63%
25 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Buzau vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buzau and UTA Arad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Buzau had 55% of the ball to UTA Arad's 45%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.41 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, UTA Arad led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Buzau and 2.67 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of Buzau vs UTA Arad?

Buzau 1-1 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buzau vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buzau win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Buzau 35%, draw 30%, UTA Arad 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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