Monagas vs Yaracuyanos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monagas v Yaracuyanos — Team-Based Signals
Monagas 2-1 Yaracuyanos — Actual Match Statistics
Monagas nicked a narrow win over Yaracuyanos 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Monagas as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monagas had 49% of the ball to Yaracuyanos's 51%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.21 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monagas's control.
What was the final score of Monagas vs Yaracuyanos?
Monagas 2-1 Yaracuyanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monagas vs Yaracuyanos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Monagas 51%, draw 25%, Yaracuyanos 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.