Zamora 0-1 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
19%
3.11
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+8.5pp
19%
Draw
29%
-9.1pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+0.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
43%
-8.1pp
65%
BTTS No
57%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 52%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.04/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.84
+45% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 83%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.4 Crosses 22.1
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Carabobo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.81 xG 1.56
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
234 Passes 400
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2024 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
17.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 3-1 HT 2-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
30.09.2023 Zamora Zamora 0-2 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.02.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 3-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
23.10.2022 Zamora Zamora 1-4 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
26.08.2022 Zamora Zamora 1-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
0-1
AWAY Carabobo
0.61 xG 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
223 Passes 257
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
6 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo squeezed past Zamora 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Zamora had 48% of the ball to Carabobo's 52%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.61 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zamora and 2.00 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Carabobo?

Zamora 0-1 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zamora 32%, draw 19%, Carabobo 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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