Zamora 2-0 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -6%
0.90/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.62
-27% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
17.1 Crosses 18.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Carabobo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.62 xG 1.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
231 Passes 419
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 3-1 HT 2-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
30.09.2023 Zamora Zamora 0-2 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.02.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 3-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
23.10.2022 Zamora Zamora 1-4 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
26.08.2022 Zamora Zamora 1-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
25.03.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
2-0
AWAY Carabobo
1.38 xG 1.01
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
243 Passes 342
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora beat Carabobo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Zamora made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Zamora had 43% of the ball to Carabobo's 57%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.38 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zamora and 2.17 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Carabobo?

Zamora 2-0 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zamora 39%, draw 30%, Carabobo 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamora), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamora) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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