Carabobo 3-1 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 24%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.20/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.28
+35% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
22.8 Crosses 12.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Zamora
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.72 xG 0.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 237
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Zamora Zamora 0-2 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.02.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 3-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
23.10.2022 Zamora Zamora 1-4 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
26.08.2022 Zamora Zamora 1-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
25.03.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
3-1
AWAY Zamora
1.79 xG 0.72
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
479 Passes 220
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo beat Zamora 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carabobo had 65% of the ball to Zamora's 35%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.79 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Carabobo and 0.60 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Zamora?

Carabobo 3-1 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 47%, draw 30%, Zamora 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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