Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

Academia Puerto Cabello
2-0 HT 2-0
Caracas FC
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academia Puerto Cabello v Caracas FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.13/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.48
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
19.9 Crosses 18.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Caracas FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 0.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
228 Passes 270
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
09.11.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
26.10.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
10.07.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
08.05.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 HT 2-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
08.03.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello CON CSA
22.08.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 Caracas FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2-0
AWAY Caracas FC
0.31 xG 1.20
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
163 Passes 287
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello saw off Caracas FC 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Academia Puerto Cabello made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 39% of the ball to Caracas FC's 61%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.31 to 1.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Caracas FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.17 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC?

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 36%, draw 32%, Caracas FC 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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