Southend United 1-1 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
74%
1.34
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.33
Over
53%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.51
2-3
45%
1.86
4-5
20%
2.67
6+
13%
7.11
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.51 — our 22% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.57
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
5%
18.45
X/1
19%
3.86
X/2
5%
15.75
X/X
5%
7.4
2/1
8%
20.5
2/2
3%
12.95
2/X
5%
21.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Southend United The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City The Market 15%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
2.04 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.33
0.60 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.31
Average Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Great Defensevs comparable teams Weak
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
229 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 155 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Truro City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 5
13.12.2025 Southend United Southend United 4-0 HT 2-0 Truro City Truro City İNFAT
23.08.2025 Truro City Truro City 0-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
1-1
AWAY Truro City
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Southend United vs Truro City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Southend United and Truro City with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

File this under upsets: a 74% lean on Southend United went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 61% to 39% in Southend United's favour, shots finished 23-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Southend United had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Southend United against 0.00 for Truro City.

Southend United vs Truro City Result & Final Score

Southend United 1-1 Truro City in the England - National League on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Southend United vs Truro City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Southend United 74%, draw 15%, Truro City 11%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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