Hartlepool United 0-2 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Mar 2026

Hartlepool United
0-2 HT 0-0
Sutton United
📅03/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Hartlepool United vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.97
Over
48%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.64
No
47%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.43
2-3
37%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.13
6+
10%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.78
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
18%
4.86
X/2
11%
7.17
X/X
12%
4.87
2/1 ✗
8%
23.5
2/2
15%
5.09
2/X
8%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Hartlepool United v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Hartlepool United The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United The Market 32%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.24 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.18
1.17 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.45
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
162 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 136 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Hartlepool United vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sutton United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.69 xG 1.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
228 Passes 107
75% Pass Accuracy 59%
17 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Sutton United Sutton United 3-3 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
08.02.2025 Sutton United Sutton United 1-2 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
05.10.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 4-3 HT 0-2 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
11.02.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-2 HT 2-2 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
17.09.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 2-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
19.02.2022 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İN2

Hartlepool United 0-2 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
0-2
AWAY Sutton United
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
REVIEW Hartlepool United vs Sutton United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sutton United put daylight between themselves and Hartlepool United 2-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

We leaned Hartlepool United at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The market had leaned harder still (2.00, ~50%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.64, roughly 61%.

By the numbers, Sutton United saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Hartlepool United against 2.00 for Sutton United.

Hartlepool United vs Sutton United Result & Final Score

Hartlepool United 0-2 Sutton United in the England - National League on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hartlepool United vs Sutton United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 42%, draw 26%, Sutton United 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hartlepool United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
3 Mar 2026
22:45 Rochdale vs Brackley Town Analysis →
22:45 Wealdstone vs Morecambe Analysis →
22:45 Boreham Wood vs York City Analysis →
22:45 Yeovil vs Tamworth Analysis →
22:45 Southend United vs Truro City Analysis →
22:45 Boston United vs Woking Analysis →