Sutton United 1-2 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.41
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
13%
5.4
X/2
10%
5.99
X/X
13%
4.94
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
20%
3.99
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.58/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.13
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
110 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 118 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hartlepool United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 0.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
145 Passes 262
60% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 4-3 HT 0-2 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
11.02.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-2 HT 2-2 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
17.09.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 2-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
19.02.2022 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
14.09.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
23.05.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 3-0 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-2
AWAY Hartlepool United
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United edged past Sutton United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hartlepool United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sutton United had 46% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 54%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sutton United and 1.17 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Hartlepool United?

Sutton United 1-2 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 36%, draw 27%, Hartlepool United 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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