Exeter City 1-1 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.72
No
45%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.98
2-3
46%
1.71
4-5
22%
3.5
6+
5%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.22
1/2
2%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
15%
5.08
X/2
11%
6.28
X/X
18%
4.51
2/1
3%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.47
2/X
5%
13.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Exeter City The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion The Market 34%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.50 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.27
1.17 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 62%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Exeter City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Burton Albion
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.07 xG 0.88
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
372 Passes 166
77% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2025 Exeter City Exeter City 0-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
21.12.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-2 HT 1-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
16.03.2024 Exeter City Exeter City 1-0 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
02.09.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-1 HT 0-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
11.02.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
17.09.2022 Exeter City Exeter City 0-2 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Exeter City
1 - 1
AWAY Burton Albion
1.76 xG 1.41
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
324 Passes 156
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 21
35 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Exeter City vs Burton Albion
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Exeter City and Burton Albion shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Exeter City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (55%) landed.

On the day, Exeter City had 65% of the ball to Burton Albion's 35%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.76 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Exeter City and 0.67 for Burton Albion.

Exeter City vs Burton Albion Result & Final Score

Exeter City 1 - 1 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Exeter City vs Burton Albion Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 42%, draw 28%, Burton Albion 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Exeter City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Exeter City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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