Exeter City vs Burton Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Exeter City v Burton Albion — Team-Based Signals
Exeter City vs Burton Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Exeter City
İN1
1-0
HT 0-0
Exeter City
İN1
0-2
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
1-1
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Exeter City
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Exeter City
İN2
Exeter City 1-0 Burton Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City squeezed past Burton Albion 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Exeter City found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Exeter City had 54% of the ball to Burton Albion's 46%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.07 to 1.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burton Albion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Exeter City and 1.00 for Burton Albion.
What was the final score of Exeter City vs Burton Albion?
Exeter City 1-0 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Burton Albion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 40%, draw 26%, Burton Albion 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Exeter City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.