Exeter City vs Burton Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Exeter City v Burton Albion — Team-Based Signals
Exeter City vs Burton Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Exeter City 1-0 Burton Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City squeezed past Burton Albion 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Exeter City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Exeter City had 54% of the ball to Burton Albion's 46%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.07 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burton Albion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Exeter City and 1.00 for Burton Albion.
Exeter City vs Burton Albion Result & Final Score
Exeter City 1 - 0 Burton Albion in the England - League One on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Exeter City vs Burton Albion Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 42%, draw 30%, Burton Albion 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Exeter City), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.