Stevenage 0-1 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.74
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.7
X/1
11%
4.0
X/2
10%
7.15
X/X
9%
3.7
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
13%
6.37
2/X
9%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.3pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.30/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.27
-30% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
244 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 61%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.8 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.00 xG 0.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
166 Passes 307
57% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-3 HT 0-2 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
21.01.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 3-0 HT 2-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
27.12.2022 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
05.03.2022 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-2 HT 1-2 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
23.10.2021 Stevenage Stevenage 0-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
09.03.2021 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
0-1
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.27 xG 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
234 Passes 124
62% Pass Accuracy 47%
17 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient squeezed past Stevenage 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stevenage had 59% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 41%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.27 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stevenage and 0.33 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Leyton Orient?

Stevenage 0-1 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 46%, draw 26%, Leyton Orient 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stevenage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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