Lincoln City 5-0 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 31% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
13%
4.0
X/2
11%
8.75
X/X
12%
4.52
2/1
12%
25.5
2/2
10%
7.07
2/X
8%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.64/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.36
+24% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 67%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
17.6 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
253 Passes 278
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
11.02.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-0 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
17.09.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 3-6 HT 1-3 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
17.04.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
10.10.2020 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-2 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
14.09.2019 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-1 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
5-0
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.98 xG 1.45
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
233 Passes 390
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City swept aside Bristol Rovers 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lincoln City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lincoln City had 40% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 60%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.98 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lincoln City and 1.17 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Bristol Rovers?

Lincoln City 5-0 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 46%, draw 26%, Bristol Rovers 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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