Wycombe Wanderers 2-0 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.27
6+ Goals
10%
21.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
16%
3.92
X/2
8%
8.66
X/X
11%
4.36
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
15%
7.25
2/X
6%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.62/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.41
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 66%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
23.2 Crosses 14.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Northampton Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.95 xG 1.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
141 Passes 348
56% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.09.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
09.08.2022 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNLK
04.09.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
14.08.2018 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İNLK
30.08.2016 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
20.02.2016 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
2-0
AWAY Northampton Town
0.61 xG 0.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
219 Passes 283
59% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers got the better of Northampton Town 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wycombe Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 45% of the ball to Northampton Town's 55%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.61 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wycombe Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 0.50 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Northampton Town?

Wycombe Wanderers 2-0 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 49%, draw 24%, Northampton Town 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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