Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derby County v Bolton Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Derby County
İN1
2-1
HT 1-0
Bolton Wanderers
İN1
0-0
HT 0-0
Derby County
İN1
4-0
HT 2-0
Bolton Wanderers
İNCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Derby County
İNCL
3-0
HT 2-0
Bolton Wanderers
İNCL
Derby County 1-0 Bolton Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Derby County edged past Bolton Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Derby County as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Derby County had 43% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 57%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.55 to 0.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derby County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Derby County and 0.67 for Bolton Wanderers.
What was the final score of Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers?
Derby County 1-0 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derby County win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Derby County 42%, draw 26%, Bolton Wanderers 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derby County), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.