Shrewsbury vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Shrewsbury v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals
Shrewsbury vs Carlisle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Shrewsbury 1-0 Carlisle United — Actual Match Statistics
Shrewsbury edged past Carlisle United 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Shrewsbury as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Carlisle United saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.32 to 0.64.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Shrewsbury against 1.00 for Carlisle United.
Shrewsbury vs Carlisle United Result & Final Score
Shrewsbury 1 - 0 Carlisle United in the England - League One on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Shrewsbury vs Carlisle United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Shrewsbury win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 47%, draw 28%, Carlisle United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shrewsbury), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.